Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.036913 0.040357 0.043983 0.048088 0.052609 0.057439 0.062996
2026-02-08 0.029782 0.034575 0.039956 0.046454 0.054107 0.062851 0.073628
2026-02-15 0.024825 0.030299 0.036780 0.045047 0.055354 0.067829 0.084153
2026-02-22 0.021946 0.027955 0.035405 0.045369 0.058423 0.075045 0.097978
2026-03-01 0.019007 0.025106 0.032967 0.043917 0.058888 0.078807 0.107594
2026-03-08 0.016249 0.022141 0.029996 0.041325 0.057403 0.079633 0.113099
2026-03-15 0.014520 0.020355 0.028377 0.040327 0.057881 0.083033 0.122372
2026-03-22 0.013581 0.019556 0.028012 0.041002 0.060718 0.089956 0.137398
2026-03-29 0.012775 0.018856 0.027697 0.041669 0.063538 0.097026 0.153284
2026-04-05 0.011784 0.017786 0.026724 0.041219 0.064549 0.101336 0.165136
2026-04-12 0.010923 0.016832 0.025834 0.040792 0.065507 0.105575 0.177203
2026-04-19 0.010072 0.015822 0.024768 0.039971 0.065714 0.108546 0.187327
2026-04-26 0.009156 0.014655 0.023388 0.038559 0.064877 0.109803 0.194803
2026-05-03 0.008395 0.013685 0.022256 0.037474 0.064504 0.111830 0.203915
2026-05-10 0.007722 0.012810 0.021215 0.036448 0.064133 0.113805 0.213118
2026-05-17 0.007352 0.012417 0.020948 0.036747 0.066143 0.120239 0.231495
2026-05-24 0.006774 0.011622 0.019930 0.035608 0.065393 0.121452 0.239678
2026-05-31 0.006104 0.010618 0.018474 0.033548 0.062723 0.118744 0.239586
2026-06-07 0.005686 0.010036 0.017729 0.032754 0.062410 0.120580 0.249099
2026-06-14 0.005495 0.009852 0.017692 0.033295 0.064751 0.127886 0.271057
2026-06-21 0.005316 0.009676 0.017654 0.033829 0.067116 0.135445 0.294406
2026-06-28 0.005033 0.009286 0.017186 0.033470 0.067612 0.139139 0.309448
2026-07-05 0.004774 0.008923 0.016745 0.033129 0.068110 0.142866 0.324962